Capivariano vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAP
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 2
LIN
59%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 1
BAT
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 0
CAP
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 2
DES
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
DES
4 - 1
PRI
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAT
2 - 1
DES
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
DES
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |