Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-0
Capivariano vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAP
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
CAP
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 2
MOG
37%
23%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAP
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ECA
1 - 0
CAX
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAX
2 - 1
AIM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAX
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
SCI
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 0
VER
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |