Capivariano vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
BAT
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
CAT
92%
6%
2%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 4
BOT
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAT
89%
9%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |