Capivariano vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAP
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAP
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
CAP
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COM
7 - 0
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAP
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |