Capivariano U20 vs Bahia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
77.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 1
SER
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
MAD
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
4 - 0
CAP
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 4
CAP
38%
25%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAN
31%
22%
48%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAH
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
BAH
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
GRE
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATL
24%
22%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |