Capital Brasilia vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
57%
21%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAP
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
5 - 1
CEI
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
4 - 0
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 4
PLA
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
13%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
GAM
14%
22%
65%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |