Capital Brasilia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAP
20%
21%
60%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 2
BRA
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 1
CAP
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAM
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 2
CEI
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |