Capital Brasilia vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
4 - 0
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAP
20%
21%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
CEI
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEI
25%
23%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |