Capital Brasilia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAP
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
5 - 1
CEI
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
4 - 0
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
4 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 3
CEI
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |