Capelle vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 0
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 2
BAR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
CAP
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
GVV
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAP
39%
23%
38%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
HOE
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KOZ
4 - 0
SPA
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 3
LIS
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPA
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |