Capelle vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ONS
1 - 2
CAP
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
CAP
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
CAP
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
GVV
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAT
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 5
SPA
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |