Capelle vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
KOZ
1 - 0
CAP
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
HHC
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
RIJ
3 - 1
CAP
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 1
CAP
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 1
KAT
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HHC
2 - 2
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
68%
18%
15%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 3
GEN
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
SPA
45%
23%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |