Capelle vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 1
GVV
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 2
CAP
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 3
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 1
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SPA
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
5 - 2
SVZ
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |