Capelle vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
1 - 1
CAP
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAP
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CAP
0 - 0
ARC
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
0 - 3
HHC
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
1 - 4
TWE
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SPA
5 - 3
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
APE
0 - 7
SPA
22%
23%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
HAR
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 3
SPA
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
RBC
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |