Capelle vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
82.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 0
SPI
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DHS
0 - 2
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
DUN
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
POO
1 - 1
CAP
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HHC
0 - 2
CAP
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RTV
5 - 4
NEC
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
NEC
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FEY
5 - 3
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |