Capelle vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
SCH
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAP
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 3
SPA
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GVV
2 - 1
CAP
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 0
HOE
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
KOZ
2 - 1
LIS
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 2
LIS
44%
23%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 2
SPA
57%
21%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 1
LIS
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |