Capelle vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 3
CAP
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAP
4 - 1
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 1
GVV
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
4 - 3
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 0
HHC
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
LIS
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 0
IJS
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SVZ
0 - 1
LIS
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |