Capelle vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAP
45%
24%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
CAP
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
TER
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 6
BVO
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
4 - 0
ONS
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 0
KAT
36%
24%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |