Capelle vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAP
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 1
CAP
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAP
1 - 3
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 0
CAP
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 2
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
APE
3 - 5
KAT
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 2
KAT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |