Capelle vs Hoogland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOZ
5 - 1
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 0
AZS
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 0
ACH
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAP
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAP
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HOO
1 - 8
BLA
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DON
4 - 0
HOO
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GEM
1 - 1
HOO
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UNA
2 - 1
HOO
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HOO
0 - 2
EVV
42%
26%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |