Capelle vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 0
CAP
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 2
HHC
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
4 - 2
SPA
52%
23%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 0
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 2
BAR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HOE
1 - 1
KOZ
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HOE
3 - 0
LIS
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
HOE
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HOE
1 - 1
SPA
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HOE
1 - 2
AJA
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |