Capelle vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
JOD
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GVV
0 - 2
CAP
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 2
NOO
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DET
0 - 1
CAP
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 5
RIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAA
2 - 3
HBS
68%
18%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HBS
2 - 4
ADO
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
3 - 0
HBS
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HBS
3 - 0
GEM
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 1
HBS
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |