Capelle vs GVV Unitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 3
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 2
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GVV
1 - 3
CAP
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
GVV Unitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
GVV
0 - 3
DEV
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 4
GVV
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GEL
6 - 0
GVV
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GVV
2 - 3
VVR
33%
23%
45%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LON
2 - 1
GVV
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |