Capelle vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
79.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 3
IJS
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 0
CAP
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
HUI
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
CAP
14%
18%
69%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 3
CAP
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 5
GRO
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 1
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 4
TWE
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |