Capelle vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
4 - 3
CAP
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
IJS
2 - 1
CAP
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 4
HBS
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
JOD
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GVV
0 - 2
CAP
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 6
KAT
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 3
KOZ
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HHC
2 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOD
3 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
LIS
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |