Capalaba vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 0
CAP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 1
ROC
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 0
CAP
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
RED
2 - 3
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 0
QUE
11%
15%
73%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +6 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
QUE
28%
21%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
HPH
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 3
QUE
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 2
EAS
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |