Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
CAP
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BRR
6 - 1
CAP
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 1
MAG
71%
15%
14%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 0
CAP
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 2
QUE
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 2
GCK
15%
17%
69%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 3
LOG
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
QUE
14%
18%
69%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 0
EAS
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 1
LOG
82%
11%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |