Capalaba vs Grange Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
42.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 7
QUE
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HPH
8 - 0
CAP
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RED
0 - 3
CAP
57%
20%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAP
10%
18%
73%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 11
GRA
10%
16%
74%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 3
GRA
30%
22%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
MIT
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BRI
2 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | -1 |