CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Sporting Club Aguileño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 2
CAP
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 2
LOR
30%
23%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 2
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
ALQ
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUL
0 - 2
CAP
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Club Aguileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
SPO
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
OLI
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
ABA
56%
22%
21%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |