CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BUL
0 - 0
CAP
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 1
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 2
CAP
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 2
LOR
30%
23%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 2
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ABA
2 - 1
CAL
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
5 - 0
ABA
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ABA
1 - 2
OLI
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
ABA
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 0
ABA
66%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |