CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 0
CAP
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 2
UCA
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 5
CAP
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 0
MUL
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAU
3 - 0
CAP
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
LOR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 4
LOR
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 2
LOR
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
YEC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |