CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EGP
3 - 0
CAP
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 2
MIN
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHU
0 - 0
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PLU
1 - 0
CAP
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 1
NUE
47%
23%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
NUE
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
LOR
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 1
LOR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
IMP
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |