CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 1
UDL
48%
26%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
YEC
1 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 1
BUL
44%
26%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAP
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
YEC
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BUL
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
27%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LAU
3 - 0
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 3
LOR
26%
24%
51%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |