CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUL
0 - 2
CAP
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 0
SOH
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
JUM
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UCA
0 - 0
CAP
55%
21%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
CHU
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALQ
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 3
ALQ
76%
14%
9%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
1 - 0
BAL
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ABA
4 - 1
ALQ
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |