Canvey Island vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 2
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOG
5 - 0
CAN
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
0 - 2
CAN
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
LEA
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 5
KIN
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 0
KIN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LEW
3 - 4
LEA
17%
22%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 2
TON
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |