Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Cantolagua vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BIN
5 - 2
CAN
72%
17%
10%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
CAN
3 - 2
CLH
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
TUD
2 - 0
CAN
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CAN
0 - 2
TAU
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
EJE
3 - 1
PEÑ
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ZAR
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
BIN
1 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CLH
72%
18%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |