Cantolagua vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
2 - 2
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BID
2 - 0
CAN
29%
24%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CDB
0 - 0
CAN
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 0
MUR
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
PEÑ
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 2
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
CDA
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |