Cantolagua vs CF Ardoi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
11º
8º
7
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
5 | 69 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 67 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 64 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 64 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 42 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 40 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 33 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 1
CAN
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
GAR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAN
5 - 1
OBE
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAM
1 - 0
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
BUR
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
CF Ardoi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
ART
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CDA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
CDA
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
CDA
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 3
ANG
35%
25%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |