Premiership Playoff Título Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Canterbury United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 1
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 2
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 1
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 0
AMD
92%
6%
2%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 2
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAF
3 - 2
WAI
10%
16%
74%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |