Canterbury United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
AUC
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 0
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |