Canterbury United vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |