Canterbury United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 3
AUC
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 2
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
WAI
2 - 3
CAN
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
WEL
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 2
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 4
AUC
14%
23%
63%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
4 - 3
SOU
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
TEA
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
6 - 0
SOU
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAW
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |