Canterbury United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
7 - 0
HAW
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
OTA
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
5 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |