Canterbury United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
CAN
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
TEA
26%
24%
51%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OTA
4 - 3
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 3
AUC
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 0
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
2 - 2
OTA
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |