Canterbury United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 1
AUC
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TEA
1 - 1
OTA
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |