Canterbury United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 1
CAN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 4
CAN
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 2
TEA
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 3
AUC
43%
25%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 3
MAN
66%
18%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
4 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 5
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
OTA
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |