Canterbury United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
TEA
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
3 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |