Canterbury United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TEA
2 - 4
CAN
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUC
0 - 3
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 2
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 3
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
HAW
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
AUC
1 - 4
MAN
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +4 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 1
MAN
32%
24%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |