Canterbury United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 4
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OTA
1 - 3
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 2
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 3
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
HAW
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |