Canterbury United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
HAW
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 5
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 5
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
4 - 5
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
WAI
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 0
MAN
24%
24%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 3
HAW
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |